August 2023 – TRREB MARKET TREND AND STATS

September 6, 2023

TORONTO, ONTARIO, September 6, 2023

Higher borrowing costs, continued uncertainty about the economy and Bank of Canada decision-making, and the constrained supply of listings resulted in fewer
home sales in August 2023 compared to August 2022. The average selling price remained virtually unchanged over the same period. On a seasonally adjusted monthly basis, sales and average price edged lower.

“Looking forward, we know there will be solid demand for housing – both ownership and rental – in the Greater Toronto Area (GTA) and broader Greater Golden Horseshoe. Record immigration levels alone will ensure this. In the short term, we will likely continue to see some volatility in terms of sales and home prices, as buyers and sellers wait for more certainty on the direction of borrowing costs and the overall
economy,” said Toronto Regional Real Estate Board (TRREB) President Paul Baron.

Greater Toronto Area REALTORS® reported 5,294 sales in August 2023 – down by 5.2 per cent compared to August 2022. New listings were up by 16.2 per cent year-over-over, providing some relief on the supply front, but year-to-date listings are still down substantially compared to the same period last year. Seasonally adjusted sales were down slightly by one per cent month-over-month compared to July 2023, while new listings were up slightly by 1.3 per cent compared to July.

“More balanced market conditions this summer compared to the tighter spring market resulted in selling prices hovering at last year’s levels and dipping slightly compared to July. As interest rates continued to increase in May, after a pause in the winter and early spring, many buyers have had to adjust their offers in order to qualify for higher monthly payments. Not all sellers have chosen to take lower than expected
selling prices, resulting in fewer sales,” said TRREB Chief Market Analyst Jason Mercer.

The MLS® Home Price Index Composite benchmark for August 2023 was up by 2.5 per cent year-overyear. The average selling price was also up, but by less than one per cent to $1,082,496 over the same timeframe. On a month-over-month seasonally adjusted basis, the MLS® HPI Composite benchmark was virtually unchanged and the average price edged lower by 1.6 per cent.

“While higher interest rates have certainly impacted affordability, the prospect of higher taxes will also hit households’ balance sheets, especially younger buyers with limited savings. With the City of Toronto moving to raise the municipal land transfer tax (MLTT) rate on properties over $3 million as a revenue tool, it must also consider helping first-time home buyers struggling to enter the market by adjusting their
tax rebate threshold to reflect today’s higher home prices,” said TRREB CEO John DiMichele.

“All three levels of government need to be focused on the key issue impacting affordability in the GTA: lack of supply. Right now, there continues to be a policy mismatch between population growth through immigration and temporary migration and bringing online enough housing to accommodate this population growth. If we can’t house newcomers, they will look elsewhere, and Canada and the GTA will
lose its competitive edge on the global stage,” continued DiMichele.

Month-Over-Month

  • There were 12,296 New Active Listings in August 2023 – DOWN 10.3% compared to July 2023.
  • The average sold price was $1,082,496 in August 2023 – DOWN 3.2% compared to July 2023.
  • There were 5,294 sales registered through TRREB’s MLS® System in August 2023 – UP 0.8% compared to July 2023.
  • The average days on market (DOM) is 28 days – UP 16.7% compared to July 2023.

Year-Over-Year

  • There were 12,296 New Active Listings in August 2023 – UP 16.2% compared to August 2022.
  • The average sold price was $1,082,496 in August 2023 – UP 0.3% compared to August 2022.
  • There were 5,294 sales registered through TRREB’s MLS® System in August 2023 – DOWN 5.2% compared to August 2022.
  • The average days on market (DOM) is 28 days – DOWN 17.6% compared to August 2022.